The battle for Akwa Ibom State

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April 13th 2015: 
INEC declared PDP candidate; Udom Gabriel Emmanuel winner polling a total of 996,071 votes from the 31 Local Government Areas in the State.
 
APC candidate; Umana Okon Umana polled 89,865 votes from the same 31 Local Government Areas in the State.
 
The APC candidate was not satisfied with the outcome, hence his petition before the Akwa Ibom Elections Petition Tribunal challenging the emergence of the PDP candidate.
 
October 21st 2015:
After submissions from all parties involved in the case, the Tribunal Judge upheld elections in 13 Local Government Areas of the State, calling for a re-run in 18.
 
From the judgement, the PDP candidate (and currently the Governor of the State) Mr. Udom Gabriel Emmanuel was still declared winner with the highest number of valid votes cast from these 13 LGAs defeating his closest rival and APC candidate, Mr. Umana Okon Umana.
 
From the 13 LGAs:
 
Udom G. Emmanuel (PDP) polled a total of 495,204 valid votes cast while Mr. Umana O. Umana (APC) polled a total of 37,572 valid votes cast.
 
From the 18 LGAs that a re-run has been ordered, the total number of accredited voters is 561,604.
 
The APC candidate is heading to the Appeal Court to see if he can get more LGAs.
 
WHY?
 
He (the APC candidate) needs to poll at least 520,000 votes out of the 561,604 from these 18 LGAs to defeat the PDP candidate. Well, this is a case only the electorates can decide.
 
Going by the prevailing circumstance, now look at this:
 
PDP’s stronghold: 
Ibiono Ibom, Eket, Onna, Ibeno, Oruk Anam, Etim Ekpo, Ikono, Ini, Ikot Abasi, Nsit Ibom (10 LGAs)
 
APC’s stronghold:
Nsit Ubium, Udung Uko, Nsit Atai, Uruan, Uyo (5 LGAs)
 
Neutral Ground:
Etinan, Itu, Ibesikpo Asutan (3 LGAs)
 
Please note:
1. All the 18 LGAs spans across the 3 Senatorial District, 9 out of 10 Federal Constituencies and about 13 out of 26 State Constituency of the State
 
2. The 3 Senators are from the PDP
 
3. The 9 Federal Legislators are from the PDP
 
4. The 13 State Legislators are from the PDP
 
5. They have all won their cases at the Elections Petition Tribunal
 
Is there any room for Umana Okon Umana of the APC? I doubt because it is practically impossible for an APC win in Akwa Ibom State

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